Hong Kong Commercial Property Downturn Set to Worsen as Banks Tighten Credit Access
SCMP · 1 SOURCESabout 1 hour ago2 MIN

Summary
Hong Kong's commercial property market is facing mounting pressure as banks tighten credit access, with mortgage-financed transactions dropping sharply and prices already down more than 40 percent from peak levels. Industry experts warn the market remains in a dangerous downward spiral with no clear bottom in sight.
Key Points
- Eric Tso Tak-ming, chief vice-president at mReferral Mortgage Brokerage Services, revealed at a Tuesday press conference that only 20 percent of commercial property transactions this year involved mortgage loans
- During the market's peak in 2012-2013, approximately 30 to 40 percent of commercial property deals were mortgage-financed
- Large banks are largely avoiding commercial property mortgage risks, leaving only medium and small banks actively offering such loans
- Banks now rigorously assess applicants' backgrounds, repayment ability, and asset liquidity before approving any commercial property mortgages
- Dave Ma Tai-yeung, CEO of Midland IC&I, stated that prices remain "in the process of bottoming out" with some properties down more than 40 percent from historical highs
Why It Matters
The severe contraction in mortgage availability is pricing out smaller investors and end-users, potentially creating a concentrated market dominated by cash-rich players. This structural shift could prolong Hong Kong's commercial property downturn and have ripple effects on broader economic activity and employment in the real estate sector .
The severe contraction in mortgage availability is pricing out smaller investors and end-users, potentially creating a concentrated market dominated by cash-rich players. This structural shift could prolong Hong Kong's commercial property downturn and have ripple effects on broader economic activity and employment in the real estate sector .